Week 9 Fantasy Football Projections vs. Actual Results

If you're going to hand out numbers all week, you ought to show up Monday and check them. So here we are.

We looked at 97 projected starters who played in Week 9. Then we put what they scored next to what we said they'd score before kickoff.

See all 97 players: projected vs. actual

Player	Team	Rank	Projected	Range	Actual	Diff	Landed
Jordan Love	GB	QB13	16.9	10.9 to 21.8	36.2	+19.3	above
C.J. Stroud	HOU	QB12	17.4	10.1 to 23.3	36.4	+19.0	above
Matthew Golden	GB	WR10	16.0	5.6 to 23.4	32.4	+16.4	above
Christian Watson	GB	WR15	14.4	6.9 to 19.7	30.1	+15.7	above
Kenneth Walker III	KC	RB4	21.0	12.7 to 27.7	36.3	+15.3	above
Bucky Irving	TB	RB13	15.1	6.6 to 21.9	28.5	+13.4	above
CeeDee Lamb	DAL	WR3	21.9	9.7 to 30.6	33.5	+11.6	above
Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	WR5	20.6	9.1 to 28.6	31.5	+10.9	above
Puka Nacua	LAR	WR1	24.9	14.0 to 32.5	35.0	+10.1	above
Joe Burrow	CIN	QB5	19.7	11.2 to 26.2	29.5	+9.8	above
KC Concepcion Jr.	CLE	WR32	10.2	5.2 to 13.8	18.8	+8.6	above
Luther Burden III	CHI	WR16	14.3	6.5 to 19.9	20.7	+6.4	above
Rome Odunze	CHI	WR37	10.1	4.0 to 14.5	16.0	+5.9	above
Denzel Boston	CLE	WR35	10.1	5.4 to 13.5	15.8	+5.7	above
Brock Purdy	SF	QB1	20.9	13.8 to 26.1	26.3	+5.4	above
Javonte Williams	DAL	RB9	17.1	8.5 to 24.0	22.4	+5.3	inside
Travis Kelce	KC	TE7	12.1	5.5 to 18.1	17.3	+5.2	inside
DeMario Douglas	NE	WR33	10.1	2.2 to 15.9	15.2	+5.1	inside
Isaiah Likely	NYG	TE8	11.7	5.1 to 17.8	16.3	+4.6	inside
Jonah Coleman	DEN	RB15	14.2	7.1 to 19.8	18.8	+4.6	inside
Bijan Robinson	ATL	RB2	22.2	13.3 to 29.5	26.7	+4.5	inside
Caleb Douglas	MIA	WR42	9.3	3.6 to 13.5	13.0	+3.7	inside
Brock Bowers	LV	TE1	18.6	10.1 to 26.8	22.3	+3.7	inside
Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	WR21	12.8	5.6 to 18.0	15.6	+2.8	inside
Omar Cooper Jr.	NYJ	WR26	11.0	3.9 to 16.1	13.8	+2.8	inside
Jadarian Price	SEA	RB29	9.4	4.2 to 13.5	11.8	+2.4	inside
Tee Higgins	CIN	WR6	18.2	7.5 to 25.8	20.2	+2.0	inside
Chris Olave	NO	WR12	15.1	7.2 to 20.8	16.8	+1.7	inside
Drake Maye	NE	QB5	19.7	12.0 to 25.4	21.3	+1.6	inside
Christian McCaffrey	SF	RB3	21.5	10.6 to 30.4	22.7	+1.2	inside
Breece Hall	NYJ	RB27	10.8	5.2 to 15.1	11.7	+0.9	inside
Rhamondre Stevenson	NE	RB17	14.1	5.7 to 20.7	14.8	+0.7	inside
Harold Fannin Jr.	CLE	TE9	11.5	6.9 to 15.8	12.2	+0.7	inside
Khalil Shakir	BUF	WR41	9.5	3.6 to 13.7	9.8	+0.3	inside
Dak Prescott	DAL	QB7	19.2	12.6 to 24.3	19.5	+0.2	inside
James Cook III	BUF	RB10	16.8	7.1 to 24.5	16.7	-0.1	inside
Nico Collins	HOU	WR11	15.6	4.7 to 23.4	15.5	-0.1	inside
Jakobi Meyers	JAX	WR29	10.7	4.0 to 15.6	10.5	-0.2	inside
Tre Tucker	LV	WR40	9.8	4.7 to 13.5	9.5	-0.3	inside
Michael Wilson	ARI	WR20	12.9	6.2 to 17.7	12.0	-0.9	inside
Parker Washington	JAX	WR13	15.0	8.3 to 19.8	14.1	-0.9	inside
Caleb Williams	CHI	QB10	18.1	8.3 to 25.8	16.8	-1.4	inside
Zach Charbonnet	SEA	RB26	11.0	5.4 to 15.3	9.6	-1.4	inside
T.J. Hockenson	MIN	TE12	9.6	5.1 to 13.6	7.3	-2.3	inside
Rachaad White	WAS	RB28	9.8	3.5 to 14.6	6.9	-2.9	inside
Trey McBride	ARI	TE3	15.3	6.8 to 23.3	12.4	-2.9	inside
Colston Loveland	CHI	TE4	12.4	3.9 to 20.2	9.4	-3.0	inside
Rashee Rice	KC	WR18	13.1	5.3 to 18.6	9.9	-3.2	inside
Patrick Mahomes	KC	QB3	19.8	13.0 to 24.9	16.5	-3.4	inside
Chuba Hubbard	CAR	RB8	17.2	10.6 to 22.6	13.6	-3.6	inside
Emeka Egbuka	TB	WR29	10.7	5.8 to 14.2	6.9	-3.8	inside
Keenan Allen	IND	WR31	10.5	5.1 to 14.3	6.6	-3.9	inside
Tyler Warren	IND	TE5	12.3	4.7 to 19.3	8.4	-3.9	inside
Drew Lock	SEA	QB15	16.6	8.1 to 23.5	12.6	-4.0	inside
Braelon Allen	NYJ	RB30	9.4	4.3 to 13.4	5.4	-4.0	inside
Jayden Daniels	WAS	QB8	18.7	10.2 to 25.2	14.6	-4.1	inside
Bhayshul Tuten	JAX	RB19	13.2	7.0 to 18.1	8.9	-4.3	inside
Ryan Flournoy	DAL	WR22	11.7	3.0 to 17.9	7.3	-4.4	inside
DJ Moore	BUF	WR25	11.2	4.8 to 15.8	6.6	-4.6	inside
Antonio Williams	WAS	WR34	10.1	4.4 to 14.3	5.5	-4.6	inside
Josh Downs	IND	WR36	10.1	2.6 to 15.5	5.4	-4.7	inside
Alvin Kamara	NO	RB23	12.6	5.5 to 18.2	7.9	-4.7	inside
Jalen Coker	CAR	WR24	11.4	3.8 to 16.9	6.6	-4.8	inside
Drake London	ATL	WR8	16.7	8.4 to 22.6	11.8	-4.9	inside
Sam LaPorta	DET	TE6	12.1	4.9 to 18.9	7.2	-4.9	inside
Stefon Diggs	WAS	WR19	13.0	4.4 to 19.2	8.1	-4.9	inside
Woody Marks	HOU	RB20	13.4	5.2 to 19.9	8.4	-5.0	inside
Jordan Addison	MIN	WR39	9.8	4.2 to 13.9	4.8	-5.0	inside
Trevor Lawrence	JAX	QB9	18.6	12.1 to 23.7	13.6	-5.0	inside
Chase Brown	CIN	RB12	15.6	7.5 to 22.0	10.5	-5.1	inside
Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	WR4	21.7	12.8 to 28.0	16.6	-5.1	inside
Ashton Jeanty	LV	RB24	12.2	7.4 to 15.9	7.0	-5.2	below
Matthew Stafford	LAR	QB11	17.5	11.4 to 22.4	12.2	-5.3	inside
Saquon Barkley	PHI	RB18	13.6	8.1 to 17.9	8.2	-5.4	inside
Brenton Strange	JAX	TE11	10.0	4.9 to 14.7	4.2	-5.8	below
Devin Singletary	NYG	RB25	11.7	3.3 to 18.3	5.9	-5.8	inside
Malik Washington	MIA	WR38	10.0	3.7 to 14.5	4.1	-5.9	inside
Josh Allen	BUF	QB2	19.9	12.1 to 25.8	13.9	-6.0	inside
Tyler Allgeier	ARI	RB22	12.7	5.0 to 18.7	6.6	-6.1	inside
Ollie Gordon II	MIA	RB16	14.1	7.3 to 19.5	7.4	-6.7	inside
Malik Nabers	NYG	WR9	16.4	7.2 to 23.0	9.3	-7.1	inside
George Kittle	SF	TE2	16.9	9.0 to 24.5	9.8	-7.2	inside
Quinshon Judkins	CLE	RB19	13.4	6.3 to 19.1	5.5	-7.9	below
Kyren Williams	LAR	RB7	17.4	10.5 to 23.0	9.1	-8.3	below
Jaylen Waddle	DEN	WR23	11.6	4.9 to 16.4	3.2	-8.4	below
Justin Jefferson	MIN	WR7	17.2	6.4 to 24.9	8.8	-8.4	inside
Derrick Henry	BAL	RB15	14.3	6.7 to 20.4	5.6	-8.8	below
Zay Flowers	BAL	WR16	14.3	8.4 to 18.5	5.3	-9.0	below
Tucker Kraft	GB	TE10	11.1	6.1 to 15.7	1.9	-9.2	below
Jonathan Taylor	IND	RB5	18.7	11.3 to 24.6	9.4	-9.3	below
Jameson Williams	DET	WR14	14.5	6.4 to 20.3	5.0	-9.5	below
Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	WR2	23.7	9.4 to 33.7	12.1	-11.6	inside
Malik Willis	MIA	QB14	16.6	8.5 to 23.2	4.8	-11.8	below
Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	RB1	25.9	15.3 to 34.6	13.4	-12.5	below
Jared Goff	DET	QB6	19.5	12.8 to 24.6	6.3	-13.2	below
D'Andre Swift	CHI	RB6	17.5	9.2 to 24.1	3.1	-14.4	below
Josh Jacobs	GB	RB11	16.1	8.6 to 22.1	0.5	-15.6	below

• Jordan Love: projected 16.91, scored 36.18
• Matthew Golden: 16.03, scored 32.4
• Christian Watson: 14.39, scored 30.1

We had Jordan Love for about 17. He scored 36. We weren't in the same zip code.

It gets worse. Matthew Golden and Christian Watson both doubled their number, in the same game, off the same quarterback. That's three of our six biggest misses on the low side, all wearing one uniform.

When a quarterback goes off, he takes his receivers with him. We know that. We still didn't see it coming.

• Jared Goff: projected 19.53, scored 6.3
• Jahmyr Gibbs: 25.89, scored 13.4
• Jameson Williams: 14.5, scored 5.0

Same story, upside down.

We had Jahmyr Gibbs as the top running back on the board. He scored about half of it. Jared Goff came in 13 points under. Jameson Williams gave you 5.

Three Lions, three misses, one bad afternoon against Miami. When an offense stalls, everybody on it goes down together. That's football.

• James Cook III: projected 16.75, scored 16.7
• Dak Prescott: 19.25, scored 19.5
• Nico Collins: 15.64, scored 15.5

James Cook was projected for 16.75 and scored 16.7. I'd like to say that was skill. It was a little bit of skill.

Dak Prescott and Nico Collins both landed within a quarter point, too.

Out of those 97 players, 67 landed inside the range we gave. Fifteen blew through the top. Fifteen fell out the bottom.

That's the week. Some of it we saw coming. Green Bay, we did not.

How to read this. Projections are the blend as it stood before each team's kickoff, in PPR scoring. Only players we ranked as starters at their position are counted, and only if they played. The range is each player's projected floor to ceiling.