Week 10 QB Rankings: Tiers, Starts and Sits

Josh Allen stands alone in tier 1 at 24.8 projected points. Nobody else is close. The real work sits in the middle of the board, where two of the season's best scorers by average face bad matchups.

Jordan Love is QB5 by average and draws the toughest defense against the position. Kirk Cousins is QB7 by average, but he changed teams this week and ranks 24th. Matthew Stafford and Tyler Shough are the better plays.

Look at the length of each bar. A short bar is a safe week. A long bar is a gamble.

Blended from CBS, ESPN, FanDuel, FleaFlicker and Sleeper. Full PPR. Opp is this week's opponent. Range runs from floor to ceiling.

A tier is a group the projections treat as close to the same. Take the highest tier you can and stop splitting hairs inside it.

Stafford is rostered in 85.8 percent of leagues and started in 48.7 percent. That gap says plenty of managers gave up on him. His season average is 15.9, which is QB17 of 35. He also has games of 27.98, 22.9 and 27.32 this year. The slate is the reason to come back. Los Angeles visits Arizona as 9.5 point favorites with a team total of 24.5. Arizona ranks second softest against quarterbacks, and he scored 16.88 there in Week 6. The risk is a blowout that cuts his volume. His last three games were 18.5, 9.28 and 12.22, so the trend is soft. Start him anyway. The floor is 10.3, which is the price of a bad day.

Shough is QB10 and projects 18.2 against a Carolina defense that sits 20th of 32. That is a middle matchup, and it is fine. The real draw is the game. New Orleans is favored by 2.5 with a team total of 25.5, and the game total is 48.5. Points will come from both sides. His last three games were 26.96, 14.82 and 19.7, an average of 20.5. He has had one dud in eight starts, a 1.84 at Minnesota in Week 5. Shough is rostered in 72.0 percent of leagues. Start him with confidence. If you hold a QB1 who faces a tough defense, this is your swap.

Lock is QB17 and projects 14.6. He is rostered in only 14.8 percent of leagues, so he is the one name here you can add. Seattle visits Las Vegas as 6.5 point favorites with a team total of 23.5. Las Vegas ranks third softest against quarterbacks. In three games he has posted 12.78, 21.4 and 12.6. That is a small sample, so treat it as a lean and not a fact. His tag is Questionable, so check the news before kickoff. If he plays, the matchup is the best reason to use him. Without him, you need a plan B.

This is the hardest call on the page. Love averages 20.1 per game, which is QB5 of 35. Last week he scored 36.18 against New England. Yet the Vikings rank 32nd of 32 in our matchup scale, the toughest defense against quarterbacks. He opened the year with 20.48 against them in Week 1, so he can beat them. The projection is 16.6 with a range of 9.3 to 22.6. That range is wide on both ends. Green Bay is favored by 3.0 with a team total of 22.8. If your other option is Stafford or Shough, take them. With only a streamer on the bench, keep Love.

Cousins got traded this week. Las Vegas sent him back to Minnesota, his old team, for a 2027 third-round pick. He's expected to start at Green Bay, though the coach hasn't committed. Check Sunday morning.

Now look at what you'd be starting. That 18.9 season average, QB7 of 35, was earned in Las Vegas. Different offense. New teammates. Now he gets a short week to fit into a new one.

The projection file lists him with Minnesota, so it was built after the move. Every source still sits far below his average, with CBS at 10.97 and FanDuel at 14.42. I can't tell you how much of that is the new setting and how much is the matchup.

Minnesota is a 3.0 point underdog at Green Bay with a team total of 19.8. Green Bay ranks 26th of 32 against quarterbacks. A low total and a hard defense is no place to trust a name.

Goff is QB8 and projects 18.3. He carries a Questionable tag, so the first job is to check his status. If he plays, the setup is fine. Detroit hosts New England with a team total of 27.0 and a game total of 51.5. His season average is 18.4. The last three games are the worry. He scored 18.02, 10.04 and then 6.3 last week. Sources agree closely, with a spread of just 1.84 between the high and low. That tells you the projection is steady, even if the recent games are not. Hold him, start him if he is active, and have a backup ready.

Defense rank 1 is the softest matchup for the position and 32 is the toughest. Team total is the points the game line gives his team.

Soft draws among the starters:

Tough draws among the starters:

Position rank this week against last week's. Only moves of 3 spots or more. Risers are ranked inside the top 20 now. Fallers were inside it last week.

Risers:

Fallers:

Cousins' Week 9 rank came with Las Vegas. That drop is a change of team, not a slump. In Las Vegas, rookie Fernando Mendoza takes over and ranks QB27 against Seattle.

Check Sunday morning before you lock anyone in a questionable tag.

On bye in Week 10: CHI, DEN, PHI, TB.

How to read this. Projections blend CBS, ESPN, FanDuel, FleaFlicker and Sleeper, as published for Week 10. Rostered is the share of Sleeper leagues that hold the player. Tiers group players whose projections sit close together. Floor and ceiling are the 20th and 80th percentile of how scores have landed around projections like this one. They are a range, not a promise. Defense rank is points allowed to the position, where 1 is softest. Team total is the points the game line gives his team. Stats run through Week 9. Trade and starter news comes from published reports through Wednesday and can change before kickoff. Scoring is full PPR.